Updated after final practice. Antonelli has dominated all three practice sessions on the new Madring circuit and carries massive championship momentum after his Italian GP recovery win. Leclerc and Piastri showed strong race pace on Friday and Saturday, making them logical podium contenders. Dry, hot conditions at 32C with a 53C track temperature will favor the efficient Mercedes package and reward consistent tyre management typical of two-stop strategies.
Race predictions · 2026
Spanish Grand Prix 2026: our predictions
Overall confidence: LikelyLocked Sat, 12 Sep 2026 13:59:38 UTC
The picks
| Call | Our pick |
|---|---|
| Winner | Andrea Kimi Antonelli |
| Podium (any order) | Andrea Kimi Antonelli, Charles Leclerc, Oscar Piastri |
| Pole | Andrea Kimi Antonelli |
| Dominant strategy | Two-stop |
| Safety car? | Yes |
The reasoning
These predictions are editorial analysis with confidence labels. They are not betting advice or a wager recommendation, and nothing here should be relied on for gambling.
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